onte: http://newsjunkiepost.com/2010/03/28/russian-geopolitical-analyst-world-war-iii-has-already-begun/
"This alarming statement sounds outrageous, border line insane and coming from the corner of the New World Orders conspiracy theory folks. However, it is not the case. The man expressing the idea is Konstantin Sivkov, he is Russian and the Vice President of the Academy for Geopolitical Issues. Sivkov thinks that “World War III will start 100 years after WWI (2014) and will take lives of hundreds of millions people worldwide.
Even if Sivkov’s conclusions seem far fetched, at first analysis, the premises for his geopolitical thesis are very compelling. Sivkov believes that planet Earth has experienced a “global crisis of civilization”. According to Sivkov, the crisis was caused by several serious conflicts which have been brewing for decades.
First, conflicts between growth of production/consumption and available resources.
Second, conflicts between poor developing countries and rich industrialized developed countries.
Third, conflicts between nations and transnational elite.
Fourth, conflicts between “spiritless free market” with the power of money and “spiritually rooted” civilizations including Orthodox (Christians) , Muslims, Buddhists and others.
“The analysis of possible solutions of these imbalances and conflicts show that they are of antagonistic nature, and that the crisis cannot be solved without significant infringements of interests of some large geopolitical subjects. This means that participation of military forces is unavoidable. Considering the global nature of the crisis we may assume that military participation will be global as well,” said Sivkov in an interview with Russia’s Svobodnaya Pressa.
In his gloomy assessment, Sivkov forecasts that World War III will be of “coalitional nature”.Countries will form coalitions based on their loyalty to one of the two “models of world order”. The first model is “the world of civilized hierarchies” where a select few “brutally exploit the rest of humanity”. The second model defined by Sivkov is “civilized mutual support or civilized harmony”.
In other words, the war will be waged to define the spiritual basis of the new world order. It will be either based on individualism, selfishness and suppression or based on community, domination of mutual interests to survive and develop and support each other,” says Sivkov.
According to Sivkov, the two coalitions already exist. The first one is the alliance of industrially developed countries represented by Western civilization. The spiritual foundations of this coalition are based on individualism and material possessions generated by the power of money. This coalition military and political core is represented by NATO.
The second coalition involves countries of “Orthodox, Islamic and other civilizations based on the domination of spirituality on materiality”. This coalition is interested in a multipolar world order, but these countries have not realized yet that they have mutual geopolitical interests. Sivkov thinks that the “multipolar coalition” could have, ultimately, the upper hand.
“The countries that are not a part of Western civilization are not ready for military confrontation neither in terms of organization nor technical preparedness. On the other hand, this coalition has an overwhelming majority of people and control over ample natural resources and territories. This greatly increase their chances to win a long war,” says Sivkov.
Sivkov is convinced that WW III is already going on, but is so far at a “relatively peaceful stage” between the two coalitions. But Sivkov believes that “aggressors will not be stopped even with the possibility of death of hundreds of millions people”.
“History shows that the elite of ’selfish’ civilizations do not get stopped by human sacrifices if there is a guarantee they, themselves, will survive in bunkers. The analysis shows that if a new world war is waged, it will touch the majority of the world population. Total demographic losses may exceed several hundred millions of people worldwide. Therefore, all honest people on Earth, including those who form the ’selfish’ coalition, must do everything they can not to allow it to happen. To do this, we have to mitigate with the force of law and other methods, the greed of transnational and national tycoons of the financial sector. We have to stop their ambitious, greedy, shameless and sometime stupid politicians. This can only be done based on broad international collaboration efforts,” concludes Sivkov."
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